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Red102
622420.2
151954.7
617224.0
Blue65
71625.1
358512.8
12544.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9273020406010012014016010265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.71.2
44.846.0
Auto18.3
Teleop29.8
End6.7
red by 10.5
125
#10
44.21.0
35.234.2
Auto16.3
Teleop24.2
End3.7
Second
6172
#23
24.01.2
16.718.0
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End2.9
blue by 1.0
716
#30
25.11.0
25.624.7
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End2.6
Third
6224
#31
20.21.2
22.123.3
Auto6.2
Teleop10.7
End3.3
red by 7.4
3585
#36
12.81.0
13.712.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed