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Red132
16633.7
393031.6
23048.4
Blue32
352520.9
547115.6
31938.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108685010015013232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#11
48.42.3
40.642.9
Auto12.3
Teleop32.2
End3.9
red by 9.7
319
#5
38.72.7
40.738.0
Auto8.0
Teleop23.8
End6.9
Second
166
#3
33.72.3
26.128.4
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End4.7
red by 12.8
3525
#24
20.92.7
18.816.1
Auto9.6
Teleop8.9
End2.4
Third
3930
#20
31.62.3
30.632.9
Auto9.5
Teleop16.9
End5.2
red by 16.0
5471
#35
15.62.7
13.410.7
Auto2.7
Teleop11.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed