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Red74
17232.0
358512.8
622420.2
Blue75
575224.6
454632.3
616124.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6478020401001201401607475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#7
32.00.2
30.130.3
Auto10.5
Teleop17.0
End4.5
blue by 0.3
32.30.1
30.931.0
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End4.6
Second
6224
#31
20.20.2
23.323.5
Auto6.2
Teleop10.7
End3.3
blue by 4.6
6161
#25
24.80.1
20.020.1
Auto10.4
Teleop11.2
End3.2
Third
3585
#36
12.80.2
12.712.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End0.7
blue by 11.8
5752
#29
24.60.1
23.323.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned26%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed