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Red98
12544.2
393031.6
360921.0
Blue88
550621.6
447332.7
23048.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89984060801201401601809888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#10
44.20.6
34.234.9
Auto16.3
Teleop24.2
End3.7
blue by 4.2
230
#11
48.40.4
42.942.5
Auto12.3
Teleop32.2
End3.9
Second
3930
#20
31.60.6
32.933.5
Auto9.5
Teleop16.9
End5.2
blue by 1.0
4473
#12
32.70.4
30.430.0
Auto10.8
Teleop16.2
End5.7
Third
3609
#32
21.00.6
21.422.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End4.1
blue by 0.6
5506
#28
21.60.4
21.220.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed