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Red89
563327.3
512232.2
192222.5
Blue110
492520.5
151954.7
359717.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738620406010012014016089110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5122
#21
32.20.3
31.131.4
Auto9.0
Teleop18.4
End4.9
blue by 22.4
54.71.4
46.047.4
Auto18.3
Teleop29.8
End6.7
Second
5633
#16
27.30.3
20.220.5
Auto6.6
Teleop15.6
End5.1
red by 6.8
4925
#22
20.51.4
19.220.6
Auto1.9
Teleop14.6
End4.1
Third
1922
#33
22.50.3
22.923.2
Auto6.3
Teleop12.4
End3.7
red by 4.6
3597
#34
17.91.4
13.815.2
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed