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Red87
590226.7
622420.2
512232.2
Blue119
393031.6
454632.3
31938.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6410605015020087119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5122
#21
32.21.2
27.028.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.4
End4.9
blue by 6.5
319
#5
38.70.5
38.539.0
Auto8.0
Teleop23.8
End6.9
Second
5902
#19
26.71.2
19.921.1
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End2.6
blue by 5.6
32.30.5
28.428.9
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End4.6
Third
6224
#31
20.21.2
22.123.3
Auto6.2
Teleop10.7
End3.3
blue by 11.5
3930
#20
31.60.5
30.230.7
Auto9.5
Teleop16.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned