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Red107
5825.8
492520.5
13353.4
Blue117
490634.4
404121.9
16633.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91670204080100120140160107117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#2
53.41.5
41.843.3
Auto15.0
Teleop31.1
End7.3
red by 18.9
34.43.0
25.828.9
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End3.6
Second
58
#18
25.81.5
24.025.5
Auto5.3
Teleop16.6
End3.9
blue by 7.9
166
#3
33.73.0
22.325.3
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End4.7
Third
4925
#22
20.51.7
18.620.3
Auto1.9
Teleop14.6
End4.1
blue by 1.4
4041
#27
21.93.0
18.321.4
Auto8.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned