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Red59
66326.2
264835.3
563327.3
Blue84
447332.7
358512.8
345126.8
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766101001502002503005984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#15
35.30.8
28.127.3
Auto10.5
Teleop21.2
End3.5
red by 2.6
4473
#12
32.71.4
27.729.1
Auto10.8
Teleop16.2
End5.7
Second
5633
#16
27.30.8
19.618.7
Auto6.6
Teleop15.6
End5.1
red by 0.5
3451
#14
26.81.4
22.223.6
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End4.6
Third
663
#26
26.20.8
24.023.2
Auto7.5
Teleop15.8
End2.9
red by 13.4
3585
#36
12.81.6
12.814.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed