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Red138
456448.8
31938.7
360921.0
Blue72
393031.6
264835.3
252318.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11185406010012014016018013872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.81.5
45.747.2
Auto11.1
Teleop28.7
End9.0
red by 13.5
2648
#15
35.31.0
32.831.8
Auto10.5
Teleop21.2
End3.5
Second
319
#5
38.71.5
37.839.3
Auto8.0
Teleop23.8
End6.9
red by 7.1
3930
#20
31.61.0
33.532.5
Auto9.5
Teleop16.9
End5.2
Third
3609
#32
21.01.5
22.023.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End4.1
red by 3.0
2523
#38
18.01.0
20.719.7
Auto7.8
Teleop7.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed