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Red115
617224.0
616124.8
13353.4
Blue70
550621.6
404217.5
512232.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93682040608010012014016011570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#2
53.41.5
47.148.6
Auto15.0
Teleop31.1
End7.3
red by 21.1
5122
#21
32.20.4
31.431.0
Auto9.0
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Second
6161
#25
24.81.5
20.121.6
Auto10.4
Teleop11.2
End3.2
red by 3.1
5506
#28
21.60.4
20.820.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End3.4
Third
6172
#23
24.01.5
20.121.6
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End2.9
red by 6.6
4042
#40
17.50.4
19.018.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed