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Red122
151954.7
12544.2
568738.5
Blue108
590226.7
5825.8
23048.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1369050100150200122108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.70.9
47.446.5
Auto18.3
Teleop29.8
End6.7
red by 6.3
230
#11
48.40.3
42.542.8
Auto12.3
Teleop32.2
End3.9
Second
125
#10
44.20.9
34.933.9
Auto16.3
Teleop24.2
End3.7
red by 17.5
5902
#19
26.70.3
23.223.5
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End2.6
Third
38.50.9
38.437.5
Auto10.6
Teleop23.5
End4.4
red by 12.7
58
#18
25.80.3
27.227.6
Auto5.3
Teleop16.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned