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Red78
358512.8
615331.0
490634.4
Blue97
563327.3
393031.6
359717.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79682040601001201407897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.1
32.632.7
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End3.6
red by 2.8
3930
#20
31.60.9
32.533.4
Auto9.5
Teleop16.9
End5.2
Second
6153
#13
31.00.1
31.431.5
Auto11.4
Teleop15.5
End4.1
red by 3.7
5633
#16
27.30.9
20.521.4
Auto6.6
Teleop15.6
End5.1
Third
3585
#36
12.80.1
12.913.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End0.7
blue by 5.1
3597
#34
17.90.9
15.216.1
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed