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Red75
404217.5
492520.5
454632.3
Blue65
360921.0
563327.3
252318.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7465020401001201401607565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.4
31.130.7
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End4.6
red by 5.0
5633
#16
27.30.3
21.921.5
Auto6.6
Teleop15.6
End5.1
Second
4925
#22
20.50.4
20.620.2
Auto1.9
Teleop14.6
End4.1
blue by 0.5
3609
#32
21.00.3
23.823.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End4.1
Third
4042
#40
17.50.4
19.118.7
Auto6.2
Teleop8.5
End2.8
blue by 0.5
2523
#38
18.00.3
19.619.2
Auto7.8
Teleop7.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed67%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed