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Red137
17232.0
12544.2
23048.4
Blue98
5825.8
456448.8
575224.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121005015020013798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#11
48.41.6
41.943.5
Auto12.3
Teleop32.2
End3.9
blue by 0.4
48.81.0
47.146.1
Auto11.1
Teleop28.7
End9.0
Second
125
#10
44.21.6
35.336.9
Auto16.3
Teleop24.2
End3.7
red by 18.4
58
#18
25.81.0
27.426.4
Auto5.3
Teleop16.6
End3.9
Third
172
#7
32.01.6
30.331.9
Auto10.5
Teleop17.0
End4.5
red by 7.4
5752
#29
24.61.0
24.023.0
Auto7.0
Teleop12.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed