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Red68
264835.3
590226.7
404121.9
Blue70
16633.7
622420.2
550621.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80816070901001106870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#15
35.30.7
31.530.8
Auto10.5
Teleop21.2
End3.5
red by 1.6
166
#3
33.70.4
31.531.1
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End4.7
Second
5902
#19
26.70.7
23.522.8
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End2.6
red by 5.0
5506
#28
21.60.4
22.121.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End3.4
Third
4041
#27
21.90.7
23.322.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
red by 1.7
6224
#31
20.20.4
22.922.5
Auto6.2
Teleop10.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed