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Red81
547115.6
447332.7
590226.7
Blue115
492520.5
617224.0
23048.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions639220408010012014016081115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4473
#12
32.71.0
29.830.8
Auto10.8
Teleop16.2
End5.7
blue by 15.8
230
#11
48.41.3
43.544.9
Auto12.3
Teleop32.2
End3.9
Second
5902
#19
26.71.0
22.823.8
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End2.6
red by 2.6
6172
#23
24.01.3
21.622.9
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End2.9
Third
5471
#35
15.61.0
13.414.4
Auto2.7
Teleop11.9
End1.0
blue by 4.9
4925
#22
20.51.3
20.221.5
Auto1.9
Teleop14.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed