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Red118
31938.7
16633.7
13353.4
Blue53
512232.2
575224.6
358512.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13854010015020011853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#2
53.40.1
49.449.3
Auto15.0
Teleop31.1
End7.3
red by 21.1
5122
#21
32.20.9
30.529.6
Auto9.0
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Second
319
#5
38.70.1
39.439.2
Auto8.0
Teleop23.8
End6.9
red by 14.2
5752
#29
24.60.9
23.022.1
Auto7.0
Teleop12.1
End5.5
Third
166
#3
33.70.1
31.131.0
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End4.7
red by 20.9
3585
#36
12.80.9
12.811.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
41%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed