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Red105
456448.8
616124.8
345126.8
Blue99
23048.4
622420.2
490634.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94103608012014016010599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.80.8
45.646.4
Auto11.1
Teleop28.7
End9.0
red by 0.4
230
#11
48.40.0
44.944.8
Auto12.3
Teleop32.2
End3.9
Second
3451
#14
26.80.8
23.924.7
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End4.6
blue by 7.6
34.40.0
32.932.8
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End3.6
Third
6161
#25
24.80.8
23.724.5
Auto10.4
Teleop11.2
End3.2
red by 4.6
6224
#31
20.20.0
21.721.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed