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Red85
31938.7
492520.5
17232.0
Blue72
264835.3
404217.5
352520.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986602040801201401608572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#5
38.70.4
38.137.7
Auto8.0
Teleop23.8
End6.9
red by 3.4
2648
#15
35.30.2
31.731.9
Auto10.5
Teleop21.2
End3.5
Second
172
#7
32.00.4
31.631.2
Auto10.5
Teleop17.0
End4.5
red by 11.1
3525
#24
20.90.2
20.320.5
Auto9.6
Teleop8.9
End2.4
Third
4925
#22
20.50.4
21.421.0
Auto1.9
Teleop14.6
End4.1
red by 3.1
4042
#40
17.50.2
17.417.5
Auto6.2
Teleop8.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed