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Red69
71625.1
192222.5
547115.6
Blue157
23048.4
264835.3
512232.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54118010015069157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#30
25.10.4
25.325.7
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End2.6
blue by 23.4
230
#11
48.43.4
44.948.3
Auto12.3
Teleop32.2
End3.9
Second
1922
#33
22.50.4
22.122.5
Auto6.3
Teleop12.4
End3.7
blue by 12.8
2648
#15
35.33.4
32.035.4
Auto10.5
Teleop21.2
End3.5
Third
5471
#35
15.60.4
15.215.6
Auto2.7
Teleop11.9
End1.0
blue by 16.6
5122
#21
32.23.4
28.732.1
Auto9.0
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsEarned