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Red112
12544.2
454632.3
550621.6
Blue115
568738.5
615331.0
575224.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10092406080120140160180200112115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#10
44.20.4
42.542.9
Auto16.3
Teleop24.2
End3.7
red by 5.7
38.51.7
37.038.7
Auto10.6
Teleop23.5
End4.4
Second
32.30.4
32.232.6
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End4.6
red by 1.3
6153
#13
31.01.7
29.631.2
Auto11.4
Teleop15.5
End4.1
Third
5506
#28
21.60.4
21.221.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End3.4
blue by 2.9
5752
#29
24.61.7
23.124.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned