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Red115
151954.7
5825.8
616124.8
Blue81
617224.0
447332.7
359717.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115685010015020011581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.70.8
52.753.5
Auto18.3
Teleop29.8
End6.7
red by 22.0
4473
#12
32.70.5
32.533.0
Auto10.8
Teleop16.2
End5.7
Second
58
#18
25.80.8
25.726.5
Auto5.3
Teleop16.6
End3.9
red by 1.8
6172
#23
24.00.5
23.524.0
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End2.9
Third
6161
#25
24.80.8
23.924.8
Auto10.4
Teleop11.2
End3.2
red by 6.9
3597
#34
17.90.5
17.417.9
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed