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Red120
12544.2
16633.7
455526.6
Blue151
31938.7
456448.8
71625.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12115750100200120151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#10
44.20.0
43.343.2
Auto16.3
Teleop24.2
End3.7
blue by 4.6
48.80.3
49.349.0
Auto11.1
Teleop28.7
End9.0
Second
166
#3
33.70.0
32.832.8
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End4.7
blue by 5.0
319
#5
38.70.3
39.238.9
Auto8.0
Teleop23.8
End6.9
Third
4555
#17
26.60.0
25.725.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.7
End3.7
red by 1.6
716
#30
25.10.3
25.625.3
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End2.6