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Red155
615331.0
568738.5
575224.6
Blue169
23048.4
17232.0
512232.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110141100150200155169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.4
38.138.5
Auto10.6
Teleop23.5
End4.4
blue by 9.9
230
#11
48.40.2
48.849.0
Auto12.3
Teleop32.2
End3.9
Second
6153
#13
31.00.4
30.731.0
Auto11.4
Teleop15.5
End4.1
blue by 1.2
5122
#21
32.20.2
32.632.8
Auto9.0
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Third
5752
#29
24.60.4
24.224.6
Auto7.0
Teleop12.1
End5.5
blue by 7.4
172
#7
32.00.2
32.332.6
Auto10.5
Teleop17.0
End4.5