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Red187
12544.2
16633.7
455526.6
Blue149
31938.7
456448.8
71625.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12115650100200187149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#10
44.20.9
43.244.1
Auto16.3
Teleop24.2
End3.7
blue by 4.6
48.80.2
49.049.3
Auto11.1
Teleop28.7
End9.0
Second
166
#3
33.70.9
32.833.6
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End4.7
blue by 5.0
319
#5
38.70.2
38.939.2
Auto8.0
Teleop23.8
End6.9
Third
4555
#17
26.60.9
25.726.6
Auto7.3
Teleop15.7
End3.7
red by 1.6
716
#30
25.10.2
25.325.5
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End2.6