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Red60
609328.8
506510.5
500822.2
Blue99
605316.4
353635.6
421633.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions547902040601001201406099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.3
24.324.5
Auto11.8
Teleop12.1
End4.9
blue by 6.8
3536
#10
35.60.7
35.035.7
Auto11.6
Teleop19.5
End4.4
Second
5008
#32
22.20.3
17.818.0
Auto7.4
Teleop9.7
End5.1
blue by 11.1
33.30.7
28.529.2
Auto10.9
Teleop17.0
End5.4
Third
5065
#40
10.50.3
14.014.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End1.0
blue by 5.9
6053
#21
16.40.7
9.910.6
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed