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Red119
345237.7
609221.0
619030.7
Blue55
506727.9
485116.5
519429.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8468020406010012014016011955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.71.7
34.836.5
Auto9.6
Teleop23.9
End4.1
red by 8.5
5194
#13
29.11.2
25.123.9
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End3.4
Second
30.71.7
28.430.1
Auto10.1
Teleop15.6
End4.9
red by 2.9
5067
#12
27.91.2
26.825.6
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End3.7
Third
6092
#19
21.01.7
15.617.3
Auto5.8
Teleop11.1
End4.1
red by 4.5
4851
#29
16.51.2
16.215.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed