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Red79
552425.8
552322.3
590123.8
Blue64
500822.2
620823.9
150424.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747450607080901007964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5524
#15
25.80.5
26.527.0
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End4.2
red by 1.0
1504
#27
24.81.2
26.125.0
Auto10.6
Teleop11.0
End3.2
Second
5901
#23
23.80.5
21.722.2
Auto9.4
Teleop9.4
End4.9
blue by 0.1
6208
#26
23.91.2
22.921.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.8
End4.1
Third
5523
#20
22.30.5
23.724.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.8
End3.9
red by 0.1
5008
#32
22.21.2
22.621.4
Auto7.4
Teleop9.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed