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Red75
585325.6
323433.4
521515.7
Blue91
421633.3
332220.9
610130.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74790501001507591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.1
33.733.9
Auto9.3
Teleop15.4
End8.6
Level
33.31.0
30.331.3
Auto10.9
Teleop17.0
End5.4
Second
5853
#11
25.60.1
24.424.5
Auto8.3
Teleop12.4
End4.9
blue by 4.9
6101
#14
30.51.0
27.928.9
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End3.9
Third
5215
#39
15.70.1
14.915.1
Auto7.5
Teleop7.2
End1.0
blue by 5.1
3322
#30
20.91.0
18.019.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned