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Red115
354235.8
387530.2
526324.2
Blue107
24722.8
601322.5
28026.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12073204060100140160180115107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto9.2
Teleop16.5
End10.2
red by 9.1
280
#34
26.70.4
26.426.7
Auto7.5
Teleop12.0
End7.3
Second
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto10.1
Teleop16.5
End3.6
red by 7.4
247
#38
22.80.4
22.422.8
Auto6.2
Teleop14.9
End1.8
Third
5263
#28
24.20.0
24.224.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.8
End4.0
red by 1.7
6013
#10
22.50.4
22.222.5
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End3.9