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Red113
354235.8
387530.2
526324.2
Blue157
360439.4
317531.1
611623.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131116080100120140160180113157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.80.1
35.835.8
Auto9.2
Teleop16.5
End10.2
blue by 3.6
39.40.4
38.638.9
Auto9.4
Teleop21.1
End8.9
Second
30.20.1
30.130.2
Auto10.1
Teleop16.5
End3.6
blue by 0.9
31.10.4
30.330.6
Auto6.2
Teleop19.1
End5.9
Third
5263
#28
24.20.1
24.224.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.8
End4.0
red by 1.0
6116
#20
23.20.4
22.322.7
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End4.6