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Red72
568519.8
546715.4
152819.9
Blue64
484016.7
602915.6
590728.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4158020801001207264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1528
#11
19.91.6
15.116.7
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End1.5
blue by 8.2
5907
#12
28.10.7
24.224.9
Auto10.4
Teleop13.8
End4.0
Second
5685
#37
19.81.6
16.918.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End3.9
red by 3.1
4840
#36
16.71.2
13.514.6
Auto2.0
Teleop12.4
End2.3
Third
5467
#22
15.41.6
10.512.1
Auto7.2
Teleop6.4
End1.9
blue by 0.1
6029
#35
15.60.7
15.916.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
16%Breach oddsEarned28%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed