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Red69
505040.7
601921.7
569520.9
Blue57
262029.9
601322.5
553126.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8265020401001201406957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.5
36.535.9
Auto8.1
Teleop27.1
End5.4
red by 10.8
29.90.6
25.024.4
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End4.3
Second
6019
#29
21.70.5
20.520.0
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End2.7
blue by 4.9
26.50.6
20.820.2
Auto7.9
Teleop13.6
End5.0
Third
5695
#13
20.90.5
20.119.6
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End4.3
blue by 1.6
6013
#10
22.50.6
19.719.1
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed