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Red69
438023.9
546715.4
262029.9
Blue66
601921.7
605723.0
473722.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575502040801006966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.6
26.427.0
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End4.3
red by 6.9
6057
#26
23.00.5
19.019.5
Auto8.1
Teleop11.6
End3.3
Second
4380
#16
23.90.6
18.318.9
Auto9.7
Teleop10.1
End4.1
red by 1.2
4737
#14
22.70.5
16.316.8
Auto3.7
Teleop15.0
End4.0
Third
5467
#22
15.40.6
10.010.7
Auto7.2
Teleop6.4
End1.9
blue by 6.2
6019
#29
21.70.5
18.318.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed