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Red80
549822.9
152819.9
505040.7
Blue57
267615.4
608921.7
509030.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8054020401001201408057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.4
39.239.6
Auto8.1
Teleop27.1
End5.4
red by 10.5
30.20.0
27.027.1
Auto6.6
Teleop17.8
End5.7
Second
5498
#21
22.90.4
18.218.6
Auto2.0
Teleop14.8
End6.0
red by 1.1
6089
#24
21.70.0
16.116.2
Auto6.3
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Third
1528
#11
19.90.4
16.617.0
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End1.5
red by 4.5
2676
#32
15.40.0
13.213.3
Auto2.2
Teleop10.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed