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Red88
360439.4
611623.2
590728.1
Blue54
361915.5
501420.4
354235.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915602040801001201401608854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.40.3
34.034.3
Auto9.4
Teleop21.1
End8.9
red by 3.6
35.80.4
29.028.6
Auto9.2
Teleop16.5
End10.2
Second
5907
#12
28.10.3
27.627.9
Auto10.4
Teleop13.8
End4.0
red by 7.7
5014
#27
20.40.4
16.616.2
Auto6.4
Teleop9.3
End4.6
Third
6116
#20
23.20.3
22.122.4
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End4.6
red by 7.7
3619
#25
15.50.4
14.313.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed