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Red50
602915.6
608921.7
521726.4
Blue30
552714.8
613614.4
601921.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6245020801001205030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5217
#15
26.40.5
24.924.3
Auto10.1
Teleop12.3
End4.0
red by 4.7
6019
#29
21.71.1
18.817.7
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End2.7
Second
6089
#24
21.70.5
16.215.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.4
End4.0
red by 7.0
5527
#33
14.81.1
12.511.4
Auto1.8
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Third
6029
#35
15.60.5
17.016.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End2.2
red by 1.1
6136
#39
14.41.1
15.414.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed