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Red68
571125.3
28026.7
601921.7
Blue109
514425.6
526324.2
2746.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions609005010015020068109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
#34
26.70.4
23.624.0
Auto7.5
Teleop12.0
End7.3
blue by 19.6
27
#1
46.41.7
43.144.9
Auto13.0
Teleop28.4
End5.0
Second
5711
#17
25.30.4
18.719.1
Auto8.6
Teleop11.7
End5.0
blue by 0.3
5144
#19
25.61.9
20.322.2
Auto7.2
Teleop14.3
End4.1
Third
6019
#29
21.70.4
20.120.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End2.7
blue by 2.6
5263
#28
24.21.7
19.521.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed