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Red101
553126.5
360439.4
505040.7
Blue64
24722.8
549822.9
613614.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10642015020010164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.5
36.036.5
Auto8.1
Teleop27.1
End5.4
red by 17.8
5498
#21
22.90.2
14.714.9
Auto2.0
Teleop14.8
End6.0
Second
39.40.5
37.237.7
Auto9.4
Teleop21.1
End8.9
red by 16.7
247
#38
22.80.2
21.521.7
Auto6.2
Teleop14.9
End1.8
Third
26.50.5
20.621.1
Auto7.9
Teleop13.6
End5.0
red by 12.1
6136
#39
14.40.2
14.114.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed