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Red60
28026.7
152819.9
602915.6
Blue100
354235.8
549822.9
387530.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54860204010012014060100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
#34
26.70.2
22.222.3
Auto7.5
Teleop12.0
End7.3
blue by 9.1
35.81.1
30.731.8
Auto9.2
Teleop16.5
End10.2
Second
1528
#11
19.90.2
19.920.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End1.5
blue by 10.3
30.21.1
29.330.4
Auto10.1
Teleop16.5
End3.6
Third
6029
#35
15.60.2
15.115.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End2.2
blue by 7.3
5498
#21
22.91.1
18.719.8
Auto2.0
Teleop14.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned