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Red55
509030.2
330212.0
501420.4
Blue66
546715.4
613614.4
514425.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584802040801001201405566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.0
28.428.5
Auto6.6
Teleop17.8
End5.7
red by 4.5
5144
#19
25.61.2
23.324.5
Auto7.2
Teleop14.3
End4.1
Second
5014
#27
20.40.0
17.117.2
Auto6.4
Teleop9.3
End4.6
red by 4.9
5467
#22
15.41.2
9.911.1
Auto7.2
Teleop6.4
End1.9
Third
3302
#40
12.00.0
9.19.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End2.9
blue by 2.5
6136
#39
14.41.2
15.116.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed