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Red65
569520.9
438023.9
521726.4
Blue77
611623.2
440521.9
317531.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736402040801001201406577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5217
#15
26.40.3
25.024.7
Auto10.1
Teleop12.3
End4.0
blue by 4.7
31.10.9
21.622.5
Auto6.2
Teleop19.1
End5.9
Second
4380
#16
23.90.3
21.621.3
Auto9.7
Teleop10.1
End4.1
red by 0.7
6116
#20
23.20.9
22.323.2
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End4.6
Third
5695
#13
20.90.3
22.622.4
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End4.3
blue by 1.0
4405
#18
21.90.9
19.220.1
Auto9.3
Teleop8.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed