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Red41
267615.4
484016.7
514425.6
Blue55
361915.5
602915.6
317531.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574301001502002503003504004155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5144
#19
25.61.2
22.221.1
Auto7.2
Teleop14.3
End4.1
blue by 5.5
31.10.4
17.918.3
Auto6.2
Teleop19.1
End5.9
Second
4840
#36
16.71.9
15.413.5
Auto2.0
Teleop12.4
End2.3
red by 1.1
6029
#35
15.60.4
15.515.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Third
2676
#32
15.41.2
15.714.6
Auto2.2
Teleop10.1
End3.0
blue by 0.1
3619
#25
15.50.4
10.811.2
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsMissed17%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed