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Red52
354235.8
330212.0
613614.4
Blue109
485523.1
569520.9
2746.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4894015052109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.80.1
27.527.4
Auto9.2
Teleop16.5
End10.2
blue by 10.5
27
#1
46.41.3
44.946.2
Auto13.0
Teleop28.4
End5.0
Second
6136
#39
14.40.1
14.314.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.7
End2.9
blue by 8.7
4855
#23
23.11.3
21.022.3
Auto7.5
Teleop12.1
End3.5
Third
3302
#40
12.00.1
11.811.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End2.9
blue by 8.9
5695
#13
20.91.3
18.820.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned