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Red145
12330.1
148133.7
575617.7
Blue77
45321.7
547824.9
267325.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029140608012014016014577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.2
33.733.8
Auto9.3
Teleop18.8
End5.5
red by 8.4
2673
#16
25.20.5
25.725.2
Auto9.4
Teleop12.9
End3.0
Second
123
#4
30.10.2
30.130.3
Auto10.5
Teleop15.2
End4.4
red by 5.2
5478
#13
24.90.5
25.324.9
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End4.3
Third
5756
#26
17.70.2
17.717.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End2.5
blue by 3.9
453
#14
21.70.5
22.121.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End4.0