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Red101
12330.1
148133.7
575617.7
Blue114
505331.3
170141.4
204822.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98120406080140160180101114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.0
33.833.8
Auto9.3
Teleop18.8
End5.5
blue by 7.7
41.40.1
41.441.3
Auto9.3
Teleop22.3
End9.7
Second
123
#4
30.10.0
30.330.3
Auto10.5
Teleop15.2
End4.4
blue by 1.1
31.30.1
31.331.2
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End4.3
Third
5756
#26
17.70.0
17.917.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End2.5
blue by 4.5
2048
#28
22.30.1
22.322.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End2.4