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Red153
505331.3
170141.4
204822.3
Blue102
81830.9
468036.2
317516.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181046080140160180153102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.3
41.141.4
Auto9.3
Teleop22.3
End9.7
red by 5.2
36.20.0
36.236.2
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End6.9
Second
31.30.3
31.031.3
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End4.3
red by 0.4
818
#9
30.90.0
30.930.9
Auto7.1
Teleop19.0
End4.8
Third
2048
#28
22.30.3
22.022.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End2.4
red by 5.3
3175
#25
16.90.0
17.016.9
Auto0.8
Teleop14.1
End2.1