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Octofinal 2-32016 Michigan State Championship
Red140
335742.2
362056.3
360442.4
Blue195
436244.6
247442.2
544841.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191162100150200250140195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#9
56.30.5
56.8→56.3
Auto13.0
Teleop37.4
End5.8
red by 11.7
4362
#18
44.60.4
43.6→44.0
Auto12.3
Teleop23.4
End8.8
Second
3604
#28
42.40.5
42.9→42.4
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End12.1
red by 0.2
2474
#12
42.20.4
41.3→41.7
Auto10.7
Teleop24.8
End6.7
Third
3357
#43
42.20.5
42.7→42.2
Auto10.8
Teleop25.7
End5.7
red by 1.1
5448
#44
41.10.4
40.2→40.6
Auto13.3
Teleop18.3
End9.6