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Semifinal 2-22016 Michigan State Championship
Red174
6754.5
2753.4
171843.3
Blue180
102347.2
400343.9
511442.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206159100250300174180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#13
54.50.1
56.1→56.0
Auto12.4
Teleop29.7
End12.4
red by 7.2
1023
#17
47.20.4
46.8→47.2
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.2
Second
27
#2
53.40.1
55.0→54.9
Auto13.3
Teleop33.0
End7.1
red by 9.5
4003
#3
43.90.4
43.5→43.9
Auto11.8
Teleop25.6
End6.5
Third
1718
#72
43.30.1
42.9→42.8
Auto11.2
Teleop27.8
End4.2
red by 0.9
5114
#66
42.40.4
41.9→42.3
Auto10.3
Teleop25.8
End6.3