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Quarterfinal 2-22016 Michigan State Championship
Red191
546050.1
515040.1
213741.5
Blue170
277156.6
598041.4
205444.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174190100150200250191170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#26
50.10.3
49.6→50.0
Auto9.4
Teleop31.8
End8.8
blue by 6.5
2771
#11
56.60.4
57.0→56.6
Auto15.2
Teleop36.3
End5.1
Second
2137
#77
41.50.3
41.1→41.4
Auto16.4
Teleop20.1
End5.0
blue by 3.2
2054
#49
44.70.4
45.1→44.7
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End4.9
Third
5150
#4
40.10.3
39.7→40.0
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End6.5
blue by 1.3
5980
#5
41.40.4
41.8→41.4
Auto10.9
Teleop20.4
End10.2